Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -13.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | TTU -800 ORU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +6 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -11.8 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (+14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -12.5 (-6.5) | 146.0 (+12.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -12.5 (-6.5) | 146.0 (+12.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -11.8 (-5.8) | 144.8 (+13.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -10.6 (-4.6) | 147.5 (+10.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2024 | TTU 86 – 50 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-11 |
| Home | 15-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#67) | 0.5 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#98) | -0.62 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.69 (#81) | -0.72 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#122) | 0.481 (#201) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 13.4% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 20.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 62.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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