Betting Lines
| Spread | NMSU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | NMSU -215 SUU +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NMSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NMSU +3 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | NMSU -5.4 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NMSU -4.2 (-1.2) | 145.7 (-4.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NMSU -3.6 (-0.6) | 146.0 (-5.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NMSU -3.4 (-0.4) | 144.3 (-3.3) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NMSU -2.8 (+0.2) | 144.0 (-3.0) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 20, 2023 | SUU 111 – 76 NMSU |
| Dec 29, 2022 | SUU 79 – 75 NMSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NMSU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 4-12 |
| Home | 9-6 | 8-7 |
| Away | 8-6 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#201) | -3.7 (#229) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.09 (#268) | 0.70 (#119) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#261) | 0.91 (#113) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#248) | 0.523 (#129) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NMSU | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 30.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.6% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.2% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.