Betting Lines
| Spread | MTSU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | MTSU -215 CBU +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MTSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTSU +11 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | MTSU -7.3 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.8 (-16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTSU -5.5 (+5.5) | 152.5 (-13.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MTSU -5.7 (+5.3) | 150.8 (-11.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTSU -5.3 (+5.7) | 149.3 (-10.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTSU -4.3 (+6.7) | 151.3 (-12.3) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 19, 2022 | MTSU 64 – 58 CBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MTSU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-7 |
| Home | 11-5 | 11-5 |
| Away | 8-5 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#127) | -0.8 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#109) | -0.06 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#121) | -0.03 (#166) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#94) | 0.488 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MTSU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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