Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | UNI -700 MONT +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +28 | 180 | Won |
| Massey | UNI -11.9 (+16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (+33.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -11.8 (+16.2) | 144.8 (+35.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -12.2 (+15.8) | 144.2 (+35.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -12.6 (+15.4) | 144.1 (+35.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -9.6 (+18.4) | 144.7 (+35.3) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 15-3 |
| Home | 14-3 | 15-1 |
| Away | 5-6 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#84) | -1.4 (#184) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#117) | 0.96 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.09 (#108) | 1.32 (#98) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#119) | 0.573 (#68) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.5% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 41.4% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.1% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 20.9% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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