Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | RICE -2000 ALCN +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +2 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | RICE -19.8 (-17.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.7 (+15.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -18.0 (-16.0) | 135.7 (+16.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -17.0 (-15.0) | 137.9 (+14.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -16.4 (-14.4) | 137.4 (+14.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -13.7 (-11.7) | 137.7 (+14.3) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 11-7 |
| Home | 7-8 | 6-3 |
| Away | 4-8 | 5-17 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#157) | -15.3 (#355) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#125) | -2.70 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#129) | -3.94 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#162) | 0.459 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 34.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 14.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 38.9% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 39.7% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.2% | 58.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 63.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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