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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
9–6 on winners
spread MAE 10.9
15 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+17.1 | 131.3 | 88% | 49–83 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.7 | 143.4 | 49% | 80–67 | ✗ |
|
|
-0.2 | 139.5 | 51% | 61–66 | ✗ |
|
|
+5.0 | 153.7 | 67% | 89–93 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.7 | 141.3 | 61% | 77–65 | ✗ |
|
|
+12.6 | 138.3 | 84% | 67–92 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.2 | 144.3 | 75% | 65–69 | ✓ |
|
|
+11.8 | 152.3 | 84% | 69–87 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.6 | 145.3 | 39% | 56–77 | ✗ |
|
|
+18.2 | 146.7 | 89% | 52–91 | ✓ |
|
|
+9.8 | 142.6 | 79% | 78–76 | ✗ |
|
|
-0.7 | 157.5 | 48% | 102–100 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.2 | 146.2 | 45% | 98–83 | ✗ |
|
|
+10.4 | 131.0 | 82% | 47–64 | ✓ |
|
|
+17.7 | 142.2 | 88% | 50–78 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.