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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
11–5 on winners
spread MAE 10.2
16 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wake Forest
@
Duke
|
+6.3 | 147.0 | 78% | 69–77 | ✓ |
Lehigh
@
Bucknell
|
+1.2 | 140.0 | 50% | 71–63 | ✗ |
Lamar
@
Incarnate Word
|
-4.0 | 152.6 | 36% | 67–76 | ✗ |
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
@
Nicholls
|
-2.0 | 141.6 | 40% | 63–67 | ✗ |
New Orleans
@
Northwestern State
|
+3.9 | 147.1 | 74% | 59–70 | ✓ |
West Virginia
@
TCU
|
+12.8 | 151.4 | 86% | 65–81 | ✓ |
SE Louisiana
@
East Texas A&M
|
-2.1 | 132.9 | 37% | 79–77 | ✓ |
McNeese
@
Houston Christian
|
-13.9 | 148.9 | 13% | 105–54 | ✓ |
Texas Southern
@
Bethune-Cookman
|
-0.0 | 143.5 | 53% | 79–83 | ✗ |
Jackson State
@
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
|
-1.7 | 154.2 | 36% | 76–63 | ✓ |
Alcorn State
@
Mississippi Valley State
|
-10.7 | 132.9 | 13% | 72–55 | ✓ |
Alabama A&M
@
Grambling
|
+7.7 | 135.1 | 79% | 60–50 | ✗ |
Kansas
@
Texas Tech
|
+1.8 | 143.9 | 60% | 50–79 | ✓ |
Elon
@
Towson
|
+11.8 | 135.3 | 86% | 55–80 | ✓ |
Prairie View A&M
@
Florida A&M
|
-1.1 | 143.3 | 42% | 61–58 | ✓ |
Marquette
@
Butler
|
-1.8 | 152.5 | 37% | 78–72 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.