Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | GRAM -500 AAMU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +10 | 110 | Lost |
| Massey | GRAM -8.5 (-18.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.6 (-28.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -7.7 (-17.7) | 135.1 (-25.1) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -6.6 (-16.6) | 136.0 (-26.0) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -7.1 (-17.1) | 137.1 (-27.1) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -7.5 (-17.5) | 137.7 (-27.7) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | AAMU 77 – 63 GRAM |
| Feb 10, 2026 | AAMU 66 – 58 GRAM |
| Mar 11, 2025 | GRAM 73 – 56 AAMU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | GRAM 67 – 51 AAMU |
| Feb 11, 2025 | GRAM 72 – 61 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 12-23 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-3 | 7-5 |
| Away | 7-9 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 75.8 |
| Massey | -9.0 (#309) | -14.1 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#253) | -1.94 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#254) | -2.80 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#232) | 0.399 (#335) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 29.5 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.62 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 33.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 35.8% |
Game Analysis
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