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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
12–4 on winners
spread MAE 10.1
16 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
App State
@
Norfolk State
|
+0.6 | 131.7 | 54% | 53–54 | ✓ |
SMU
@
Boise State
|
+0.5 | 137.6 | 54% | 84–85 | ✓ |
UCLA
@
Michigan State
|
-2.3 | 133.3 | 40% | 86–80 | ✓ |
Virginia Tech
@
Florida
|
+1.2 | 133.0 | 54% | 70–75 | ✓ |
Colgate
@
Arkansas
|
+0.5 | 157.1 | 53% | 68–85 | ✓ |
Drexel
@
Illinois
|
+13.3 | 141.5 | 86% | 49–78 | ✓ |
Utah State
@
Texas Tech
|
+1.8 | 127.9 | 58% | 53–65 | ✓ |
Oral Roberts
@
Ohio State
|
+10.4 | 156.6 | 83% | 75–72 | ✗ |
Hartford
@
Baylor
|
+15.2 | 139.2 | 85% | 55–79 | ✓ |
Georgia Tech
@
Loyola Chicago
|
+1.6 | 124.3 | 59% | 60–71 | ✓ |
Oregon State
@
Tennessee
|
+5.9 | 131.5 | 71% | 70–56 | ✗ |
Liberty
@
Oklahoma State
|
+4.5 | 139.7 | 65% | 60–69 | ✓ |
Buffalo
@
Colorado State
|
+0.5 | 147.7 | 56% | 73–75 | ✓ |
Wisconsin
@
North Carolina
|
+0.7 | 135.1 | 51% | 85–62 | ✗ |
Cleveland State
@
Houston
|
+15.6 | 134.9 | 87% | 56–87 | ✓ |
North Texas
@
Purdue
|
+4.7 | 125.6 | 67% | 78–69 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.