Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | OKST -300 LIB +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +9 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | OKST -6.9 (+2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (-12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -7.8 (+1.2) | 144.5 (-15.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | OKST -7.0 (+2.0) | 139.1 (-10.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | OKST -9.0 (+0.0) | 145.0 (-16.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -7.7 (+1.3) | 143.7 (-14.7) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-9 | 23-6 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 11-2 |
| Home | 10-3 | 13-0 |
| Away | 8-4 | 5-3 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 62.5 |
| Massey | 12.2 (#32) | 5.3 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.21 (#5) | 0.91 (#101) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.08 (#7) | 1.18 (#97) |
| RPI | 0.613 (#10) | 0.538 (#92) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 57.4% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 77.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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