Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | TENN -400 ORST +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +14 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | TENN -9.7 (-23.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.3 (-3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -7.2 (-21.2) | 134.2 (-8.2) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -5.9 (-19.9) | 131.5 (-5.5) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -6.7 (-20.7) | 135.1 (-9.1) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -7.1 (-21.1) | 132.5 (-6.5) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-9 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 10-10 |
| Home | 13-3 | 10-6 |
| Away | 4-4 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.5 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 15.3 (#11) | 5.6 (#94) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.20 (#35) | 1.39 (#70) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.87 (#30) | 1.92 (#69) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#56) | 0.522 (#127) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.8% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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