Betting Lines
| Spread | VT -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | FLA +120 VT -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +5 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | FLA -1.7 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (+7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -2.0 (+3.0) | 137.2 (+7.8) | 52% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | FLA -1.3 (+3.7) | 132.5 (+12.5) | 55% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | FLA -1.9 (+3.1) | 137.1 (+7.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -2.2 (+2.8) | 137.0 (+8.0) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FLA | VT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-10 | 15-7 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 9-4 |
| Home | 6-3 | 10-2 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-3 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 66.0 |
| Massey | 12.5 (#31) | 10.8 (#45) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.91 (#48) | 1.95 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.56 (#42) | 2.46 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#46) | 0.572 (#41) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FLA | VT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.