Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | OSU -1600 ORU +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +3 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | OSU -15.8 (-18.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.4 (-12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -12.8 (-15.8) | 158.2 (-11.2) | 86% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -10.4 (-13.4) | 156.6 (-9.6) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -12.7 (-15.7) | 156.6 (-9.6) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -12.1 (-15.1) | 157.0 (-10.0) | 86% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-10 | 18-11 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 10-5 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-3 |
| Away | 7-4 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 77.2 |
| Massey | 16.5 (#8) | 0.6 (#154) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.96 (#10) | -0.33 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.02 (#8) | -0.35 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#21) | 0.524 (#124) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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