Let fury have the hour / Anger can be power. "Clampdown" - The Clash
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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13–3 on winners spread MAE 9.7 16 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Robert Morris @ Purdue Fort Wayne +4.0 141.5 67% 102–88 ✗
Drake @ Indiana State -6.5 142.2 28% 81–63 ✓
Youngstown State @ Cleveland State +3.7 143.7 68% 74–81 ✓
Hartford @ New Hampshire -1.0 137.6 50% 69–77 ✗
Binghamton @ UMBC +13.6 137.6 89% 67–74 ✓
Canisius @ Monmouth +1.7 153.6 57% 66–84 ✓
Green Bay @ Wright State +16.4 141.7 90% 77–90 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Stony Brook +2.6 141.0 64% 58–73 ✓
NJIT @ Vermont +3.0 135.6 67% 78–92 ✓
Oakland @ Detroit Mercy +4.8 151.5 70% 83–80 ✗
Alcorn State @ Vanderbilt +15.9 146.2 89% 59–87 ✓
Evansville @ Southern Illinois +13.5 140.9 89% 57–63 ✓
Illinois State @ Loyola Chicago +11.1 148.8 87% 60–90 ✓
Missouri State @ Northern Iowa -4.6 152.1 32% 79–59 ✓
DePaul @ Providence +4.4 150.7 70% 90–95 ✓
Robert Morris @ Purdue Fort Wayne +3.3 142.1 65% 82–87 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.