← All models
Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–4 on winners
spread MAE 11.8
9 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UC Santa Barbara
@
UC Irvine
|
-2.9 | 138.0 | 33% | 56–75 | ✗ |
UMass Lowell
@
Stony Brook
|
+5.6 | 137.5 | 74% | 64–71 | ✓ |
Hartford
@
New Hampshire
|
+2.0 | 137.8 | 60% | 51–53 | ✓ |
Binghamton
@
UMBC
|
+11.3 | 135.8 | 87% | 75–69 | ✗ |
Canisius
@
Monmouth
|
+6.1 | 150.4 | 75% | 69–97 | ✓ |
NJIT
@
Vermont
|
+6.3 | 146.9 | 77% | 81–80 | ✗ |
New Mexico State
@
Cal State Northridge
|
— | — | — | 63–66 | — |
Drake
@
Indiana State
|
-8.8 | 143.4 | 21% | 73–66 | ✓ |
Evansville
@
Southern Illinois
|
+10.6 | 136.2 | 86% | 84–72 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.