Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | UCI +110 UCSB -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +19 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | UCSB -4.8 (+23.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (-6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSB -2.9 (+21.9) | 138.0 (-7.0) | 33% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSB -1.6 (+20.6) | 135.9 (-4.9) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -3.3 (+22.3) | 138.8 (-7.8) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCSB -2.7 (+21.7) | 138.6 (-7.6) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | UCI 64 – 60 UCSB |
| Feb 8, 2026 | UCSB 84 – 79 UCI |
| Mar 9, 2025 | UCI 97 – 88 UCSB |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UCI 62 – 60 UCSB |
| Feb 23, 2024 | UCI 81 – 69 UCSB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-9 | 22-5 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 13-3 |
| Home | 10-1 | 11-0 |
| Away | 6-6 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.1 | 63.6 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#212) | 5.6 (#88) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.60 (#263) | 1.46 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.45 (#270) | 2.25 (#77) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#241) | 0.581 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 42.2% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 6.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 20.7% |
| FT Rate | 13.0% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 30.2% |
Game Analysis
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