Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | UVM -714 NJIT +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NJIT +1 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | UVM -7.9 (-8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (+10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -6.3 (-7.3) | 146.9 (+14.1) | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -5.2 (-6.2) | 146.8 (+14.2) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -5.6 (-6.6) | 150.1 (+10.9) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -8.0 (-9.0) | 147.1 (+13.9) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | UVM 63 – 54 NJIT |
| Feb 22, 2026 | UVM 70 – 64 NJIT |
| Jan 31, 2026 | NJIT 79 – 77 UVM |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UVM 71 – 61 NJIT |
| Jan 24, 2025 | UVM 68 – 64 NJIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-5 | 7-12 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 6-10 |
| Home | 6-3 | 3-5 |
| Away | 4-2 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.4 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#127) | -1.3 (#182) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#139) | -0.59 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#145) | -1.07 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#186) | 0.369 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 21.1% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 31.1% | 32.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 79.6% | 63.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.5% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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