Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
| Money | INST +190 DRKE -220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | INST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +7 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | DRKE -11.7 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -8.8 (+1.8) | 143.4 (-4.4) | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -11.8 (+4.8) | 137.2 (+1.8) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -9.8 (+2.8) | 141.6 (-2.6) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -9.5 (+2.5) | 143.1 (-4.1) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | DRKE 76 – 62 INST |
| Jan 4, 2026 | DRKE 74 – 72 INST |
| Feb 8, 2025 | DRKE 85 – 81 INST |
| Jan 18, 2025 | DRKE 71 – 53 INST |
| Mar 10, 2024 | DRKE 84 – 80 INST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | INST | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-10 | 26-5 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 15-3 |
| Home | 9-3 | 14-1 |
| Away | 5-6 | 9-2 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 64.8 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#174) | 14.8 (#14) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#149) | 2.84 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#129) | 4.04 (#26) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#106) | 0.552 (#100) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | INST | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 52.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 43.6% |
| REB / G | 29.2 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 59.7% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 20.2% | 37.2% |
| FT Rate | 34.7% | 16.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 43.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.3% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.