Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +14 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -4.4 (+9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.1 (+36.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -3.0 (+11.0) | 135.6 (+34.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -4.0 (+10.0) | 141.4 (+28.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -3.7 (+10.3) | 137.5 (+32.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -4.2 (+9.8) | 134.6 (+35.4) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | UVM 63 – 54 NJIT |
| Feb 22, 2026 | UVM 70 – 64 NJIT |
| Jan 31, 2026 | NJIT 79 – 77 UVM |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UVM 71 – 61 NJIT |
| Jan 24, 2025 | UVM 68 – 64 NJIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-5 | 7-12 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 6-10 |
| Home | 6-3 | 3-5 |
| Away | 4-2 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.4 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#144) | 1.2 (#147) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#147) | 0.02 (#164) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#143) | 0.00 (#162) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#213) | 0.389 (#291) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.1% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 23.3% | 39.5% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.56 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.9% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 35.2% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 42.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.8% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 85.7% | 56.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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