Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | CLE -135 YSU +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +7 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -4.3 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (+12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -3.7 (+3.3) | 143.7 (+11.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -1.8 (+5.2) | 138.2 (+16.8) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -2.5 (+4.5) | 141.4 (+13.6) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -2.9 (+4.1) | 143.1 (+11.9) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | YSU 106 – 82 CLE |
| Jan 17, 2026 | CLE 80 – 78 YSU |
| Mar 11, 2025 | YSU 56 – 54 CLE |
| Feb 16, 2025 | YSU 68 – 60 CLE |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CLE 80 – 72 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-8 | 15-12 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 9-11 |
| Home | 9-2 | 10-5 |
| Away | 8-5 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#197) | -2.3 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#116) | 0.18 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#128) | -0.21 (#169) |
| RPI | 0.611 (#41) | 0.449 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 26.9% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 16.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 39.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 57.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 64.7% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.2% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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