Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | UNI -280 MOST +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MOST +20 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | MOST -4.0 (-16.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.0 (-21.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MOST -4.6 (-15.4) | 152.1 (-14.1) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MOST -3.6 (-16.4) | 151.6 (-13.6) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MOST -7.4 (-12.6) | 155.0 (-17.0) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MOST -3.3 (-16.7) | 150.5 (-12.5) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2025 | UNI 66 – 61 MOST |
| Jan 22, 2025 | UNI 79 – 68 MOST |
| Feb 8, 2024 | UNI 72 – 65 MOST |
| Jan 4, 2024 | UNI 64 – 62 MOST |
| Feb 18, 2023 | UNI 69 – 66 MOST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-15 | 17-7 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 6-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-7 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-4 | 2-0 |
| Streak | W3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 67.3 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#195) | 6.0 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.22 (#294) | 1.46 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.82 (#306) | 2.06 (#80) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#222) | 0.562 (#82) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 50.4% |
| 3PT% | 39.6% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 61.3% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 13.7% |
| ORB% | 17.8% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 13.1% | 33.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.9% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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