Betting Lines
| Spread | Pick'em Home covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Over |
| Money | PFW -110 RMU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PFW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PFW +5 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | PFW -4.1 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (+28.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PFW -3.3 (+1.7) | 142.1 (+26.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PFW -3.2 (+1.8) | 149.9 (+19.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PFW -3.6 (+1.4) | 144.5 (+24.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PFW -4.3 (+0.7) | 144.7 (+24.3) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | PFW 83 – 71 RMU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | PFW 79 – 74 RMU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | RMU 76 – 69 PFW |
| Dec 8, 2024 | PFW 82 – 77 RMU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | PFW 78 – 63 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PFW | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-15 | 4-15 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 3-12 |
| Home | 5-6 | 3-6 |
| Away | 3-9 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 79.8 |
| Massey | -7.8 (#278) | -7.8 (#277) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#239) | -1.45 (#257) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#236) | -2.32 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.326 (#321) | 0.472 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PFW | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.56 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.7% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 32.0% | 25.5% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 34.0% | 15.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 65.1% | 63.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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