Betting Lines
| Spread | DETM -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Over |
| Money | DETM -160 OAK +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DETM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +3 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | DETM -8.6 (-11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.8 (+6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DETM -4.8 (-7.8) | 151.5 (+11.5) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DETM -4.1 (-7.1) | 156.3 (+6.7) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DETM -4.4 (-7.4) | 154.2 (+8.8) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DETM -4.2 (-7.2) | 151.5 (+11.5) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | DETM 95 – 89 OAK |
| Jan 24, 2026 | OAK 95 – 87 DETM |
| Feb 16, 2025 | OAK 93 – 83 DETM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | OAK 65 – 59 DETM |
| Mar 2, 2024 | OAK 75 – 70 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DETM | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-10 | 12-18 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 7-5 | 5-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 81.2 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#254) | -10.7 (#298) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.16 (#290) | -1.26 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.06 (#253) | -1.63 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.371 (#304) | 0.493 (#165) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DETM | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 35.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.6% | 42.3% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 59.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 14.4% |
Game Analysis
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