Betting Lines
| Spread | SIU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | SIU -440 EVAN +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIU +6 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | SIU -19.2 (-13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (-18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIU -13.5 (-7.5) | 140.9 (-20.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIU -12.5 (-6.5) | 138.0 (-18.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIU -13.8 (-7.8) | 141.3 (-21.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIU -14.2 (-8.2) | 141.6 (-21.6) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | SIU 81 – 67 EVAN |
| Feb 13, 2026 | SIU 86 – 60 EVAN |
| Feb 6, 2025 | SIU 68 – 59 EVAN |
| Jan 1, 2025 | EVAN 68 – 53 SIU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | SIU 65 – 53 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIU | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-14 | 9-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.1 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#95) | -10.3 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.58 (#27) | -1.44 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.84 (#29) | -2.83 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#79) | 0.412 (#270) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIU | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.0% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 44.3% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 4.2 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.3% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 14.4% | 18.8% |
| FT Rate | 31.0% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.4% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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