Betting Lines
| Spread | UMBC -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UMBC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UMBC +7 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | UMBC -20.1 (-13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (+4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UMBC -13.6 (-6.6) | 137.6 (+3.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UMBC -12.7 (-5.7) | 136.6 (+4.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UMBC -13.7 (-6.7) | 138.3 (+2.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UMBC -15.6 (-8.6) | 136.4 (+4.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | UMBC 79 – 62 BING |
| Jan 19, 2026 | UMBC 78 – 60 BING |
| Feb 13, 2025 | UMBC 81 – 77 BING |
| Jan 4, 2025 | BING 87 – 82 UMBC |
| Mar 6, 2024 | BING 72 – 71 UMBC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UMBC | BING |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-6 | 4-14 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 4-10 |
| Home | 5-4 | 1-9 |
| Away | 9-2 | 3-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.9 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#101) | -11.6 (#305) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#96) | -3.28 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.62 (#95) | -4.58 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.459 (#206) | 0.292 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UMBC | BING |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 12.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.4% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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