Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | INST +135 DRKE -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | INST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +18 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | DRKE -9.3 (-8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (+1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -6.5 (-11.5) | 142.2 (+1.8) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -8.8 (-9.2) | 137.6 (+6.4) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -8.6 (-9.4) | 141.1 (+2.9) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -7.6 (-10.4) | 143.4 (+0.6) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | DRKE 76 – 62 INST |
| Jan 4, 2026 | DRKE 74 – 72 INST |
| Feb 8, 2025 | DRKE 85 – 81 INST |
| Jan 18, 2025 | DRKE 71 – 53 INST |
| Mar 10, 2024 | DRKE 84 – 80 INST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | INST | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-10 | 26-5 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 15-3 |
| Home | 9-3 | 14-1 |
| Away | 5-6 | 9-2 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 64.8 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#156) | 14.0 (#18) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#123) | 2.33 (#38) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#110) | 2.86 (#58) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#84) | 0.531 (#118) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | INST | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 52.6% |
| 3PT% | 26.6% | 42.8% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 59.4% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 22.1% | 38.3% |
| FT Rate | 34.3% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 43.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.4% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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