Twenty-one years in captivity / His shoes too small to fit his feet "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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13–2 on winners spread MAE 8.5 15 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Wofford @ Charleston +4.2 145.0 69% 67–77 ✓
The Citadel @ Central Arkansas +6.2 137.2 69% 71–73 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Grambling +0.9 133.9 43% 75–65 ✗
Grand Canyon @ Louisiana Tech +5.1 146.9 71% 66–74 ✓
California Baptist @ Middle Tennessee +5.7 150.8 74% 64–75 ✓
Alcorn State @ Rice +17.0 137.9 90% 75–77 ✓
Air Force @ Northern Colorado +10.4 141.8 80% 76–81 ✓
Montana @ Northern Iowa +12.2 144.2 82% 76–104 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Texas Tech +26.1 149.8 91% 50–86 ✓
South Alabama @ TCU +9.2 137.2 77% 49–58 ✓
Tarleton State @ UTEP +19.1 132.3 91% 62–67 ✓
Southern Utah @ New Mexico State +3.6 146.0 66% 69–72 ✓
Drexel @ Howard +0.9 143.5 50% 68–65 ✗
DePaul @ St. John's +7.1 149.9 77% 61–89 ✓
North Florida @ UNC Asheville +1.3 157.8 58% 81–95 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.