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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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10–5 on winners spread MAE 10.6 15 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Saint Peter's @ Tennessee +17.0 132.2 89% 49–83 ✓
NC State @ Texas Tech +1.6 146.4 58% 80–67 ✗
Drake @ Washington State +0.5 143.3 54% 61–66 ✓
Samford @ Kansas +5.0 151.8 68% 89–93 ✓
Northwestern @ Florida Atlantic +1.6 144.0 53% 77–65 ✗
Colgate @ Baylor +11.7 140.2 85% 67–92 ✓
UAB @ San Diego State +7.3 145.1 74% 65–69 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Marquette +11.5 152.8 85% 69–87 ✓
New Mexico @ Clemson -2.9 147.6 35% 56–77 ✗
Stetson @ UConn +21.5 149.2 89% 52–91 ✓
Yale @ Auburn +10.9 143.7 83% 78–76 ✗
Colorado @ Florida -1.0 155.8 43% 102–100 ✓
Texas A&M @ Nebraska +1.2 148.9 47% 98–83 ✗
Vermont @ Duke +8.9 133.4 82% 47–64 ✓
Grambling @ Purdue +21.8 139.9 88% 50–78 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.