They smelled of pubs and Wormwood Scrubs and too many right wing meetings. "Down in the Tube Station at Midnight" - The Jam
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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12–4 on winners spread MAE 10.5 16 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Wake Forest @ Duke +5.7 150.6 79% 69–77 ✓
Lehigh @ Bucknell +3.0 142.3 58% 71–63 ✗
Lamar @ Incarnate Word -4.9 153.5 32% 67–76 ✗
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Nicholls -0.1 141.0 52% 63–67 ✗
New Orleans @ Northwestern State +2.5 150.4 63% 59–70 ✓
West Virginia @ TCU +12.7 152.8 87% 65–81 ✓
SE Louisiana @ East Texas A&M -1.0 133.6 40% 79–77 ✓
McNeese @ Houston Christian -19.1 147.4 13% 105–54 ✓
Texas Southern @ Bethune-Cookman +0.1 141.5 52% 79–83 ✓
Jackson State @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff -0.9 153.1 36% 76–63 ✓
Alcorn State @ Mississippi Valley State -9.6 129.5 16% 72–55 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Grambling +7.1 137.1 75% 60–50 ✗
Kansas @ Texas Tech +0.6 144.5 56% 50–79 ✓
Elon @ Towson +10.8 136.3 84% 55–80 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Florida A&M -0.3 143.1 49% 61–58 ✓
Marquette @ Butler -0.1 154.3 55% 78–72 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.