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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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13–3 on winners spread MAE 9.6 16 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Robert Morris @ Purdue Fort Wayne +3.7 142.6 69% 102–88 ✗
Drake @ Indiana State -7.6 143.4 23% 81–63 ✓
Youngstown State @ Cleveland State +2.9 143.1 68% 74–81 ✓
Hartford @ New Hampshire -0.6 136.4 58% 69–77 ✗
Binghamton @ UMBC +15.6 136.4 88% 67–74 ✓
Canisius @ Monmouth +2.4 153.5 57% 66–84 ✓
Green Bay @ Wright State +17.6 142.4 88% 77–90 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Stony Brook +1.9 140.5 62% 58–73 ✓
NJIT @ Vermont +4.2 134.6 68% 78–92 ✓
Oakland @ Detroit Mercy +4.2 151.5 67% 83–80 ✗
Alcorn State @ Vanderbilt +18.2 146.4 90% 59–87 ✓
Evansville @ Southern Illinois +14.2 141.6 86% 57–63 ✓
Illinois State @ Loyola Chicago +12.2 149.7 85% 60–90 ✓
Missouri State @ Northern Iowa -3.3 150.5 35% 79–59 ✓
DePaul @ Providence +4.9 151.7 73% 90–95 ✓
Robert Morris @ Purdue Fort Wayne +4.3 144.7 63% 82–87 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.