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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
8–4 on winners
spread MAE 9.7
12 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Iowa
@
Minnesota
|
-2.9 | 171.0 | 42% | 95–102 | ✗ |
Houston
@
UCF
|
-3.5 | 133.9 | 34% | 63–54 | ✓ |
Kentucky
@
Louisville
|
+12.2 | 132.3 | 78% | 59–62 | ✓ |
Youngstown State
@
Cleveland State
|
-0.8 | 137.8 | 49% | 69–87 | ✗ |
Ohio State
@
Northwestern
|
+4.8 | 148.2 | 66% | 70–71 | ✓ |
Nicholls
@
LSU
|
+22.4 | 151.5 | 91% | 80–86 | ✓ |
Coppin State
@
Towson
|
+8.9 | 141.8 | 79% | 73–78 | ✓ |
Virginia
@
Gonzaga
|
+2.8 | 147.0 | 61% | 75–98 | ✓ |
Indiana
@
Illinois
|
+10.5 | 148.8 | 84% | 60–69 | ✓ |
Oakland
@
Detroit Mercy
|
+9.4 | 151.4 | 80% | 77–75 | ✗ |
Norfolk State
@
George Mason
|
+5.4 | 134.5 | 69% | 68–65 | ✗ |
Green Bay
@
Wright State
|
+21.4 | 146.2 | 91% | 53–67 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.