Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Over |
| Money | MINN +260 IOWA -320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +7 | 197 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -6.7 (+13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 175.0 (+22.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -3.3 (+10.3) | 165.8 (+31.2) | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -4.8 (+11.8) | 161.8 (+35.2) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -2.3 (+9.3) | 168.7 (+28.3) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -2.9 (+9.9) | 171.0 (+26.0) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2026 | MINN 70 – 67 IOWA |
| Jan 22, 2025 | MINN 72 – 67 IOWA |
| Feb 11, 2024 | IOWA 90 – 85 MINN |
| Jan 15, 2024 | IOWA 86 – 77 MINN |
| Feb 12, 2023 | IOWA 68 – 56 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-15 | 22-9 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-4 | 14-2 |
| Away | 0-10 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 83.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#67) | 18.2 (#4) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.67 (#24) | 2.69 (#23) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.01 (#27) | 4.49 (#14) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#69) | 0.567 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 41.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 2.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 57.4% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 13.0% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 38.1% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 65.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 13.1% |
Game Analysis
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