Let fury have the hour / Anger can be power. "Clampdown" - The Clash
Big Ten Conference · Welsh-Ryan Arena · December 26, 2020
Betting Lines
Spread OSU -2.5 Home covered
O/U 140.5 Over
Money NU +125 / OSU -145
Model Predictions
Spread Total NU win
Actual NU +1 141 Won
Massey NU -6.3 (-5.3) — —
Massey Totals — 147.1 (-6.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 39% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 71% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML NU -5.9 (-4.9) 146.9 (-5.9) 74% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ NU -3.3 (-2.3) 142.3 (-1.3) 65% ✓
Baseline Plus ML NU -4.4 (-3.4) 147.1 (-6.1) 58% ✓
Baseline ML NU -4.8 (-3.8) 148.2 (-7.2) 66% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 6, 2025 OSU 86 – 82 NU
Feb 20, 2025 NU 70 – 49 OSU
Jan 28, 2024 NU 83 – 58 OSU
Feb 10, 2023 NU 69 – 63 OSU
Jan 2, 2023 OSU 73 – 57 NU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NU OSU
Overall 9-15 21-10
Conference 6-13 12-8
Home 7-6 10-4
Away 2-8 7-4
Neutral 0-1 4-2
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 69.0 77.2
Avg Pts Against 71.0 71.1
Massey 12.0 (#32) 9.9 (#48)
Bradley-Terry 1.64 (#63) 2.78 (#20)
W. Bradley-Terry 4.24 (#18) 4.13 (#23)
RPI 0.536 (#112) 0.661 (#15)
Shooting & Four Factors NU OSU
FG% 49.7% 44.3%
3PT% 41.3% 32.2%
REB / G 39.0 37.4
OREB / G 6.8 12.2
AST / TO 1.59 1.36
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 58.3% 50.3%
TOV% 16.4% 14.1%
ORB% 21.9% 34.9%
FT Rate 30.3% 33.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 42.3% 47.7%
Opp TOV% 16.4% 19.4%
DRB% 77.8% 71.0%
Opp FT Rate 17.3% 21.3%

Game Analysis

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