Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
| Money | CLE +115 YSU -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +18 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -3.1 (+21.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (+20.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -0.7 (+18.7) | 138.9 (+17.1) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -1.8 (+19.8) | 137.0 (+19.0) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -2.4 (+20.4) | 136.2 (+19.8) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -0.8 (+18.8) | 137.8 (+18.2) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | YSU 106 – 82 CLE |
| Jan 17, 2026 | CLE 80 – 78 YSU |
| Mar 11, 2025 | YSU 56 – 54 CLE |
| Feb 16, 2025 | YSU 68 – 60 CLE |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CLE 80 – 72 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-8 | 15-12 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 9-11 |
| Home | 9-2 | 10-5 |
| Away | 8-5 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#245) | 2.1 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#148) | 0.80 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#152) | 0.73 (#131) |
| RPI | 0.612 (#40) | 0.448 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 23.2% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 37.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.8% | 14.7% |
Game Analysis
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