Blood in the streets in the town of New Haven "Peace Frog" - The Doors
Horizon League · Nutter Center · December 26, 2020
Betting Lines
Spread WRST -15.0 Away covered
O/U 147.0 Under
Money WRST -1600 / GB +900
Model Predictions
Spread Total WRST win
Actual WRST +14 120 Won
Massey WRST -25.5 (-11.5) — —
Massey Totals — 145.4 (-25.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 100% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WRST -19.4 (-5.4) 146.1 (-26.1) 91% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WRST -16.9 (-2.9) 147.9 (-27.9) 90% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WRST -21.2 (-7.2) 149.6 (-29.6) 90% ✓
Baseline ML WRST -21.4 (-7.4) 146.2 (-26.2) 91% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 1, 2026 WRST 83 – 75 GB
Dec 7, 2025 WRST 86 – 58 GB
Feb 16, 2025 GB 79 – 68 WRST
Jan 3, 2025 WRST 74 – 51 GB
Jan 19, 2024 GB 88 – 81 WRST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WRST GB
Overall 18-6 8-17
Conference 16-4 8-12
Home 9-4 6-6
Away 9-2 2-11
Neutral 0-0 0-0
Last 5 4-1 0-5
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 82.0 71.6
Avg Pts Against 67.4 76.5
Massey 11.0 (#38) -10.3 (#295)
Bradley-Terry 1.59 (#65) -3.37 (#326)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.29 (#72) -4.40 (#317)
RPI 0.603 (#50) 0.406 (#280)
Shooting & Four Factors WRST GB
FG% 51.0% 39.1%
3PT% 35.8% 31.1%
REB / G 42.0 32.7
OREB / G 8.8 8.3
AST / TO 1.07 1.00
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 56.8% 44.8%
TOV% 19.7% 16.6%
ORB% 27.0% 21.6%
FT Rate 20.9% 16.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 41.9% 53.3%
Opp TOV% 16.1% 14.5%
DRB% 74.4% 70.9%
Opp FT Rate 18.2% 23.8%

Game Analysis

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