Betting Lines
| Spread | DETM -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | DETM -175 OAK +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DETM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +2 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | DETM -12.3 (-14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DETM -9.7 (-11.7) | 152.2 (-0.2) | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DETM -8.2 (-10.2) | 155.2 (-3.2) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DETM -9.7 (-11.7) | 154.4 (-2.4) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DETM -9.4 (-11.4) | 151.4 (+0.6) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | DETM 95 – 89 OAK |
| Jan 24, 2026 | OAK 95 – 87 DETM |
| Feb 16, 2025 | OAK 93 – 83 DETM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | OAK 65 – 59 DETM |
| Mar 2, 2024 | OAK 75 – 70 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DETM | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-10 | 12-18 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 7-5 | 5-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 81.2 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#222) | -11.9 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#249) | -2.39 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#222) | -3.33 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.414 (#270) | 0.478 (#184) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DETM | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.5% | 35.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 42.1% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.5% | 60.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 13.3% |
Game Analysis
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