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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–4 on winners
spread MAE 12.1
9 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UC Santa Barbara
@
UC Irvine
|
-2.7 | 138.6 | 45% | 56–75 | ✗ |
UMass Lowell
@
Stony Brook
|
+5.1 | 137.7 | 73% | 64–71 | ✓ |
Hartford
@
New Hampshire
|
+1.6 | 138.2 | 58% | 51–53 | ✓ |
Binghamton
@
UMBC
|
+12.0 | 134.4 | 83% | 75–69 | ✗ |
Canisius
@
Monmouth
|
+7.2 | 151.3 | 71% | 69–97 | ✓ |
NJIT
@
Vermont
|
+8.0 | 147.1 | 74% | 81–80 | ✗ |
New Mexico State
@
Cal State Northridge
|
— | — | — | 63–66 | — |
Drake
@
Indiana State
|
-9.5 | 143.1 | 19% | 73–66 | ✓ |
Evansville
@
Southern Illinois
|
+10.5 | 135.3 | 79% | 84–72 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.