What's the point of robbery when nothing is worth taking? "Stand and Deliver" - Adam and the Ants
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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16–7 on winners spread MAE 6.4 23 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Mississippi Valley State @ Grambling +13.3 134.4 89% 52–77 ✓
Towson @ Hofstra +4.8 128.0 69% 65–68 ✓
Nicholls @ UT Rio Grande Valley +6.1 137.6 74% 68–86 ✓
Oregon State @ Gonzaga +23.2 146.2 91% 56–65 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Robert Morris +3.9 144.5 72% 70–64 ✗
Weber State @ Eastern Washington +1.6 153.3 60% 79–84 ✓
Santa Clara @ Saint Mary's +4.1 142.7 71% 76–71 ✗
Baylor @ Arizona State -2.8 152.4 40% 79–83 ✗
Alcorn State @ Prairie View A&M +5.8 141.4 76% 56–65 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Stanford +3.6 137.4 70% 64–63 ✗
Utah @ Cincinnati +10.6 141.5 87% 66–73 ✓
Syracuse @ SMU +5.1 155.9 72% 69–86 ✓
Maryland @ Oregon +1.5 136.9 62% 70–60 ✗
UMass Lowell @ UMBC +12.0 144.3 86% 69–91 ✓
Missouri State @ Florida International +1.2 149.5 59% 75–72 ✗
Mercyhurst @ Long Island University +6.0 136.7 76% 70–79 ✓
Kansas State @ BYU +10.7 162.4 85% 91–105 ✓
NJIT @ Vermont +11.8 137.6 87% 54–63 ✓
Wake Forest @ Virginia Tech +1.9 147.6 55% 95–89 ✗
Monmouth @ Hofstra +6.3 133.0 75% 69–75 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Stephen F. Austin +7.9 132.8 81% 58–60 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Wright State +5.1 150.4 75% 63–66 ✓
Penn State @ Northwestern +6.2 140.7 78% 66–76 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.