Sometimes we're not prepared for adversity. "Mercy, Mercy, Mercy" - The Cannonball Adderley Quartet
Robert Morris Colonials
64 – 70
FINAL Neutral Conference Barbasol Horizon League
Detroit Mercy Titans
Horizon League · Corteva Coliseum (Neutral) · March 10, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread RMU -4.5 Away covered
O/U 146.5 Under
Money RMU -218 / DETM +180
Model Predictions
Spread Total RMU win
Actual DETM +6 134 Lost
Massey RMU -4.7 (-10.7) — —
Massey Totals — 150.5 (-16.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 65% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 71% ✗
Baseline Plus ML RMU -3.2 (-9.2) 145.3 (-11.3) 66% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RMU -5.8 (-11.8) 144.7 (-10.7) 74% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML RMU -4.0 (-10.0) 143.8 (-9.8) 66% ✗
Baseline ML RMU -3.3 (-9.3) 144.4 (-10.4) 70% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 26, 2026 RMU 73 – 62 DETM
Jan 3, 2026 RMU 85 – 77 DETM
Feb 6, 2025 RMU 71 – 56 DETM
Jan 3, 2025 DETM 78 – 76 RMU
Feb 3, 2024 RMU 75 – 67 DETM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RMU DETM
Overall 22-11 17-15
Conference 13-7 12-8
Home 14-3 9-5
Away 8-7 7-9
Neutral 0-1 1-1
Last 5 5-0 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.8 76.3
Avg Pts Against 73.4 78.7
Massey 0.4 (#162) -4.3 (#237)
Bradley-Terry 0.26 (#138) -0.35 (#211)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.31 (#139) -0.61 (#221)
RPI 0.515 (#139) 0.489 (#211)
Shooting & Four Factors RMU DETM
FG% 47.2% 44.5%
3PT% 38.5% 35.1%
REB / G 37.1 36.7
OREB / G 12.7 11.9
AST / TO 1.42 1.17
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.0% 50.0%
TOV% 18.5% 16.0%
ORB% 37.5% 33.1%
FT Rate 19.5% 25.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.1% 52.5%
Opp TOV% 15.9% 14.1%
DRB% 71.6% 69.5%
Opp FT Rate 30.6% 27.4%

Game Analysis

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