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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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15–3 on winners spread MAE 7.7 18 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UC Irvine @ North Dakota State +4.0 140.9 65% 74–73 ✗
Nicholls @ Pacific +10.7 134.7 82% 82–95 ✓
Idaho @ Cal Poly +0.5 153.3 55% 83–80 ✗
North Dakota @ Nebraska +27.9 148.8 91% 55–78 ✓
Norfolk State @ UTEP +3.2 131.8 54% 72–71 ✗
New Haven @ Fordham +11.2 127.5 83% 47–65 ✓
West Georgia @ Georgia +32.5 163.5 91% 74–103 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Towson +9.0 137.8 82% 47–72 ✓
NJIT @ Butler +26.7 148.3 91% 52–101 ✓
Denver @ Tulsa +22.8 159.3 90% 85–90 ✓
Seattle U @ UTSA -7.9 139.5 18% 71–68 ✓
South Carolina State @ South Carolina +31.9 143.8 91% 70–95 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Western Illinois -4.8 138.0 29% 66–61 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Texas Southern -5.7 137.9 26% 75–68 ✓
Portland @ UC Santa Barbara +7.6 148.5 77% 61–79 ✓
American University @ Virginia +21.2 152.6 90% 51–95 ✓
Siena @ Indiana +17.7 136.1 89% 60–81 ✓
Coppin State @ Georgetown +28.3 149.6 91% 67–97 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.