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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
8–6 on winners
spread MAE 8.0
14 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rutgers
@
Purdue
|
+4.6 | 122.3 | 66% | 65–64 | ✗ |
West Virginia
@
Oklahoma State
|
+2.1 | 141.2 | 58% | 60–67 | ✓ |
Army
@
Lafayette
|
+6.6 | 133.5 | 73% | 82–65 | ✗ |
Pennsylvania
@
Brown
|
+4.1 | 135.6 | 64% | 76–68 | ✗ |
Jacksonville State
@
Jacksonville
|
+8.0 | 124.9 | 77% | 46–62 | ✓ |
Lipscomb
@
Liberty
|
+13.7 | 139.8 | 89% | 48–77 | ✓ |
Bellarmine
@
North Alabama
|
+6.4 | 136.1 | 72% | 69–65 | ✗ |
Bethune-Cookman
@
Florida A&M
|
+3.8 | 137.8 | 63% | 67–59 | ✗ |
North Florida
@
Stetson
|
+8.9 | 154.6 | 79% | 62–68 | ✓ |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
@
Alabama A&M
|
+4.8 | 145.2 | 67% | 59–66 | ✓ |
Southern
@
Texas Southern
|
+1.3 | 140.7 | 55% | 77–76 | ✗ |
Grambling
@
Prairie View A&M
|
+1.4 | 129.9 | 55% | 60–61 | ✓ |
Florida Gulf Coast
@
Central Arkansas
|
-11.1 | 154.4 | 16% | 84–79 | ✓ |
Marquette
@
St. John's
|
-4.1 | 165.7 | 35% | 96–85 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.