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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
13–2 on winners
spread MAE 9.9
16 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Robert Morris
@
Purdue Fort Wayne
|
+3.4 | 149.7 | 71% | 102–88 | ✗ |
Drake
@
Indiana State
|
-8.8 | 137.6 | 30% | 81–63 | ✓ |
Youngstown State
@
Cleveland State
|
+1.8 | 138.2 | 62% | 74–81 | ✓ |
Hartford
@
New Hampshire
|
+2.0 | 138.2 | 60% | 69–77 | ✓ |
Binghamton
@
UMBC
|
+12.7 | 136.6 | 84% | 67–74 | ✓ |
Canisius
@
Monmouth
|
+1.8 | 148.7 | 65% | 66–84 | ✓ |
Green Bay
@
Wright State
|
+15.7 | 147.2 | 88% | 77–90 | ✓ |
UMass Lowell
@
Stony Brook
|
+1.7 | 139.7 | 63% | 58–73 | ✓ |
NJIT
@
Vermont
|
+4.0 | 141.4 | 77% | 78–92 | ✓ |
Oakland
@
Detroit Mercy
|
+4.1 | 156.3 | 65% | 83–80 | ✗ |
Alcorn State
@
Vanderbilt
|
+16.4 | 144.3 | 90% | 59–87 | ✓ |
Evansville
@
Southern Illinois
|
+12.5 | 138.0 | 85% | 57–63 | ✓ |
Illinois State
@
Loyola Chicago
|
+10.0 | 147.8 | 84% | 60–90 | ✓ |
Missouri State
@
Northern Iowa
|
-3.6 | 151.6 | 33% | 79–59 | ✓ |
DePaul
@
Providence
|
— | — | — | 90–95 | — |
|
Robert Morris
@
Purdue Fort Wayne
|
+3.2 | 149.9 | 71% | 82–87 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.