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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
8–4 on winners
spread MAE 8.6
12 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Iowa
@
Minnesota
|
-4.8 | 161.8 | 49% | 95–102 | ✗ |
Houston
@
UCF
|
-5.3 | 132.6 | 28% | 63–54 | ✓ |
Kentucky
@
Louisville
|
+9.2 | 129.0 | 71% | 59–62 | ✓ |
Youngstown State
@
Cleveland State
|
-1.8 | 137.0 | 39% | 69–87 | ✗ |
Ohio State
@
Northwestern
|
+3.3 | 142.3 | 65% | 70–71 | ✓ |
Nicholls
@
LSU
|
+18.8 | 152.0 | 90% | 80–86 | ✓ |
Coppin State
@
Towson
|
+6.8 | 146.0 | 76% | 73–78 | ✓ |
Virginia
@
Gonzaga
|
+1.4 | 142.1 | 62% | 75–98 | ✓ |
Indiana
@
Illinois
|
+10.1 | 146.0 | 84% | 60–69 | ✓ |
Oakland
@
Detroit Mercy
|
+8.2 | 155.2 | 74% | 77–75 | ✗ |
Norfolk State
@
George Mason
|
+5.5 | 134.5 | 74% | 68–65 | ✗ |
Green Bay
@
Wright State
|
+16.9 | 147.9 | 90% | 53–67 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.