I remember one night the kid cut off his right arm in a bid to save a bit of power. "So It Goes" - Nick Lowe
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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10–4 on winners spread MAE 10.6 14 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Saint Mary's @ Loyola Marymount -3.9 134.8 30% 78–73 ✓
Gonzaga @ Pepperdine -13.2 141.4 15% 96–56 ✓
San Francisco @ Seattle U +5.0 137.0 72% 67–59 ✗
Omaha @ Oregon +14.6 148.5 88% 57–80 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Penn State +17.4 144.8 89% 67–90 ✓
Merrimack @ Sacred Heart +1.4 135.8 56% 80–72 ✗
Missouri State @ Delaware +0.9 134.6 59% 61–43 ✗
Southern @ Illinois +25.4 161.8 91% 55–90 ✓
Marist @ Quinnipiac +3.8 137.1 70% 58–64 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Iowa +25.2 143.2 91% 62–90 ✓
Towson @ William & Mary +6.0 142.6 76% 70–84 ✓
Dartmouth @ Florida +23.5 149.6 91% 72–94 ✓
UMBC @ Coppin State -9.1 138.9 17% 93–59 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Youngstown State +11.2 143.7 87% 73–68 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.