Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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10–3 on winners spread MAE 9.0 13 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
App State @ Duke +19.6 140.5 90% 67–92 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ UMBC +5.4 139.8 70% 62–51 ✗
Charleston @ Stetson -3.3 144.9 33% 59–67 ✗
Chicago State @ IU Indianapolis -1.4 123.8 39% 61–55 ✓
Tennessee State @ Charleston Southern -1.5 144.2 42% 78–75 ✓
Jackson State @ Drake +11.1 131.7 86% 65–70 ✓
Alcorn State @ Tulsa +6.3 135.7 73% 62–83 ✓
UT Arlington @ Oral Roberts +6.1 141.1 71% 62–71 ✓
McNeese @ UTEP +10.4 137.0 84% 72–82 ✓
Dartmouth @ Stanford +7.9 140.9 77% 78–89 ✓
Liberty @ East Carolina +0.3 132.9 52% 74–64 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Virginia Tech +4.9 132.5 65% 49–86 ✓
Richmond @ NC State -1.4 147.2 43% 83–74 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.