The juice of the carrot, the smile of the parrot / A little drop of claret - anything that rocks "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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11–4 on winners spread MAE 8.7 15 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
New Hampshire @ UConn +21.1 151.7 89% 64–84 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Rutgers +11.4 125.9 76% 40–71 ✓
Troy @ Eastern Kentucky +3.4 146.8 62% 76–77 ✓
Presbyterian @ Elon +3.5 150.9 60% 79–82 ✓
Manhattan @ Fordham +2.8 134.4 61% 61–93 ✓
Western Illinois @ Wisconsin +22.5 143.4 91% 49–71 ✓
UMBC @ Hampton +1.1 161.0 52% 80–76 ✗
Utah Tech @ Lindenwood +3.4 145.6 60% 73–66 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Northwestern +3.0 141.9 64% 67–89 ✓
Houston Christian @ TCU +32.1 156.7 91% 64–101 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Fresno State +3.2 152.8 63% 69–65 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Washington State +28.9 150.7 91% 72–82 ✓
Utah @ Saint Mary's +1.7 139.1 55% 78–71 ✗
North Dakota State @ San José State +11.6 132.9 84% 65–78 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Michigan State +29.0 135.8 90% 55–86 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.