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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–7 on winners
spread MAE 7.8
14 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rutgers
@
Purdue
|
+4.7 | 131.0 | 56% | 65–64 | ✗ |
West Virginia
@
Oklahoma State
|
+2.1 | 142.7 | 61% | 60–67 | ✓ |
Army
@
Lafayette
|
+3.3 | 135.3 | 62% | 82–65 | ✗ |
Pennsylvania
@
Brown
|
+2.3 | 138.4 | 57% | 76–68 | ✗ |
Jacksonville State
@
Jacksonville
|
+6.4 | 130.7 | 78% | 46–62 | ✓ |
Lipscomb
@
Liberty
|
+12.5 | 144.3 | 87% | 48–77 | ✓ |
Bellarmine
@
North Alabama
|
+3.9 | 137.0 | 69% | 69–65 | ✗ |
Bethune-Cookman
@
Florida A&M
|
+1.4 | 139.3 | 56% | 67–59 | ✗ |
North Florida
@
Stetson
|
+6.1 | 150.3 | 75% | 62–68 | ✓ |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
@
Alabama A&M
|
+2.1 | 142.7 | 69% | 59–66 | ✓ |
Southern
@
Texas Southern
|
+1.0 | 143.6 | 57% | 77–76 | ✗ |
Grambling
@
Prairie View A&M
|
-0.4 | 134.8 | 40% | 60–61 | ✗ |
Florida Gulf Coast
@
Central Arkansas
|
-12.7 | 151.5 | 13% | 84–79 | ✓ |
Marquette
@
St. John's
|
-2.9 | 159.9 | 33% | 96–85 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.