Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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10–3 on winners spread MAE 9.0 13 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
App State @ Duke +21.7 141.8 90% 67–92 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ UMBC +5.3 141.2 68% 62–51 ✗
Charleston @ Stetson -3.8 145.6 40% 59–67 ✗
Chicago State @ IU Indianapolis -0.3 125.9 36% 61–55 ✓
Tennessee State @ Charleston Southern -1.8 144.6 37% 78–75 ✓
Jackson State @ Drake +11.5 131.7 86% 65–70 ✓
Alcorn State @ Tulsa +6.3 135.9 74% 62–83 ✓
UT Arlington @ Oral Roberts +6.2 141.3 71% 62–71 ✓
McNeese @ UTEP +11.5 137.1 85% 72–82 ✓
Dartmouth @ Stanford +8.4 141.0 79% 78–89 ✓
Liberty @ East Carolina +0.9 133.1 47% 74–64 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Virginia Tech +4.1 134.4 63% 49–86 ✓
Richmond @ NC State -1.6 149.1 41% 83–74 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.