They smelled of pubs and Wormwood Scrubs and too many right wing meetings. "Down in the Tube Station at Midnight" - The Jam
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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11–2 on winners spread MAE 8.9 13 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
App State @ Duke +21.7 135.9 98% 67–92 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ UMBC +7.4 137.4 75% 62–51 ✗
Charleston @ Stetson -4.5 148.1 34% 59–67 ✗
Chicago State @ IU Indianapolis -1.9 111.8 43% 61–55 ✓
Tennessee State @ Charleston Southern -0.8 146.5 47% 78–75 ✓
Jackson State @ Drake +13.7 124.7 89% 65–70 ✓
Alcorn State @ Tulsa +6.3 134.2 72% 62–83 ✓
UT Arlington @ Oral Roberts +10.0 140.2 82% 62–71 ✓
McNeese @ UTEP +12.6 132.9 87% 72–82 ✓
Dartmouth @ Stanford +9.3 137.9 80% 78–89 ✓
Liberty @ East Carolina -0.6 129.3 48% 74–64 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Virginia Tech +6.3 128.7 72% 49–86 ✓
Richmond @ NC State -2.9 149.3 40% 83–74 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.