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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
13–3 on winners
spread MAE 6.9
16 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Miami
@
North Carolina
|
+11.7 | 152.9 | 87% | 71–75 | ✓ |
West Virginia
@
Kansas State
|
+9.8 | 144.9 | 84% | 90–94 | ✓ |
Maryland Eastern Shore
@
South Carolina State
|
+7.8 | 137.6 | 81% | 56–64 | ✓ |
Delaware State
@
North Carolina Central
|
+6.1 | 139.3 | 77% | 81–93 | ✓ |
Norfolk State
@
Morgan State
|
-5.2 | 140.0 | 29% | 85–82 | ✓ |
Coppin State
@
Howard
|
+11.2 | 136.3 | 88% | 69–78 | ✓ |
Incarnate Word
@
Nicholls
|
+7.3 | 147.1 | 80% | 82–92 | ✓ |
Alabama State
@
Bethune-Cookman
|
+1.5 | 138.4 | 67% | 84–90 | ✓ |
Alabama A&M
@
Florida A&M
|
+0.2 | 140.6 | 52% | 58–76 | ✓ |
McNeese
@
Lamar
|
-6.1 | 142.7 | 24% | 58–56 | ✓ |
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
@
Houston Christian
|
-11.4 | 149.3 | 15% | 91–79 | ✓ |
Texas Southern
@
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
|
-2.0 | 148.1 | 36% | 77–70 | ✓ |
UNC Wilmington
@
Campbell
|
-8.5 | 142.5 | 19% | 100–105 | ✗ |
Prairie View A&M
@
Mississippi Valley State
|
-9.9 | 130.8 | 18% | 51–57 | ✗ |
Baylor
@
TCU
|
+1.3 | 151.6 | 63% | 62–54 | ✗ |
Georgetown
@
Villanova
|
+14.5 | 142.7 | 89% | 47–75 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.